Personal Information

Curriculum Vitae

Biographical Abstract

List of publications

Speeches / Conferences

PowerPoint presentations

Working papers

Research Interests

Population / food / health

China's food security

European rural development

Regional development


Software developed

Websites developed

PowerPoint presentations


The AGILE scheme for analyzing (all kinds of) systems.
This presentation introduces the AGILE scheme, which is a conceptual framework for analyzing complex systems. It can be used to study all kinds of (biological, social, economic and political) organizations, from organisms to small teams of co-workers and from corporations to nation states. The scheme does not replace empirical analyses and quantitative modeling, but brings order to the analytic process. It can help to widen the analytic horizon and prevent over-simplified models.
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World Population Prospects, the 2015 Revision

The UN World Population Prospects, the 2015 Revision
This presentation on the "UN World Population Prospects" was given on 11 September 2015 at the International School on Energy Systems, organized by the Forschungszentrum Jülich at Kloster Seeon, Germany. The presentation highlights key results from the most recent revision of global population estimates and projections published by the United Nations Population Division. The presentation is available in two versions:
1. The original presentation delivered at the meeting (short version)
2. The extended version



Demographische Ungleichgewichte (in German)
This presentation on "Demographic Imbalances - Comparing Africa and Europe" was given on 17 July 2015 at the Akademie für Politik und Zeitgeschehen der Hanns-Seidel-Stiftung in Munich, Germany. The presentation highlights the demographic differences between Africa and Europe between 1950 and 2100. The presentation is available in two versions:
1. The original presentation delivered at the meeting (short version)
2. The extended version with an additional discussion of consequences



Population and economy
This presentation on "Population and Economy - Global demographics and the changing world" was given on 6 October 2013 at the 1st Annual Client Conference of Kings Point Capital Management at the Trump National Doral Resort in Miami, Florida. The presentation highlights five components of global population change and three noteworthy trends in US demographics. The presentation argues that demographic change is responsible for long-term shifts in the economic potential of countries and regions. More ...
(If download is too slow, use small file version)



World Population Prospects, the 2010 Revision. Methodology
This presentation highlights some of the methodological and practical challenges in the preparation of the World Population Prospects (with examples from the 2010 Revision).
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(If download is too slow, use small file version)



Population and (international) conflict:
This presentation on "Strategic Implications of Demographic Change in Asia" was given on March 2012 at the U.S. Naval War College in Newport, Rhode Island. It highlights some of the conflict-related implications of current demographic trends. Over the next two or three generations we will see the most drastic demographic upheaval the world has ever seen. Asia's and Africa's populations will outgrow those in all other regions of the world by a large margin. The geo-strategic consequences of these fundamental shift are largely unexplored.
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Modern life-cycles - Demographic, social and economic implications.
Current demographic trends in highly developed countries cannot be understood without considering the deep cultural, social and economic changes that have shaped modern life-cycles. This presentation provides facts and figures on recent trends in fertility, life expectancy, and marriage. It also highlights some of the demographic, social, and economic implications of modern life-cycles.
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Copyright © 2012 by Gerhard K. Heilig. All rights reserved.

Updated: 9 October 2013